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I'm informing readers that video games and politics are what I follow. I follow up on new video games and hope that oppressed peoples will secede from the U.S. Yankee Empire. I'm a big fan of the Wii U Gamepad style controls as I own a Nintendo 64, PlayStation 2, Xbox 360, PlayStation 3, and Wii U with plans on owning a PlayStation 4 by receiving it for Christmas.

Blog Archive

Friday, November 30, 2018

To New California State: My Idea for Splitting California

Dear New California,

I'm writing here to tell you about what I think to be a possible bi-partisan way of getting California's State legislature & Democrat-controlled House to accept a multi-state solution to California's mismanagement problems. California has become so ungovernable that the only way to save California from itself is to accept deals which include paying off & splitting debt burdens, pension liabilities, State & Local Tax Deductions, & many other forgiveness deals California Democrats can't refuse.

I'm saying here that Democrats will want somethings in return & I know exactly how to entice Democrats in Congress to accept. While I like the idea of splitting California into West(Los Angeles, Central Coast, Bay Area, Greater Sacramento) vs. East(Orange-San Diego Coast, Inland Empire, Central Valley, Sierra Nevada, Far North), I think a better idea would be to split California into 5 states that would entice Democrats with a handful more U.S. Senators(while GOP gets a couple more as well).
This is just one example of a partition California map I've found. This is not merely a Democrat vs. Republican issue given that many Democrats from outside the San Francisco-Sacramento areas would be attracted to this proposal as long as they have their solid Democrat state. Of course, the proposal would be to establish two Safe Democrat states, one or two Safe GOP states, & one or two swing states. I realize it use to be if you were to form a state from the counties of San Diego, Orange, Imperial, Riverside, San Bernardino, Inyo, & Mono counties you would have a strong GOP state but due to the exodus of conservatives as well as illegal immigration & massive voter fraud aggressively sanctioned by the California Democrat elites, this proposed state would be a swing state but closer to Arizona than Nevada politically though.

Today's California no longer reflects the numerous economic, social, & political differences it suffers from. As a result, most of California suffers from bad policies of San Francisco-Sacramento Democrats. Even Democrats from outside the Bay area would reject certain bad policies like environmental regulations & certain taxes but feel compelled to vote in lockstep with Democrat leadership. Partitioning California is not about dividing people in California but giving the regions a greater voice whether they be Republican, Democrat, or unaffiliated. Even Democrats outside the Bay Area would benefit from partitioning California in 5 as their political figures will be able to win & compete in statewide elections without having to compete or be influenced by Bay Area Democrat machine.

Here are the proposed new states to be established from California:

Image result for mojave flag
 Mojave/Reagan

Counties to be included: San Diego, Imperial, Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino, Inyo, Mono

Capital: Riverside

I chose the name Mojave as it is named after the Mojave Desert. These include counties where until the late 2000's GOP presidential candidates would sweep a supermajority of these counties & even win a supermajority of elections there. Due to the exodus of GOP leaning voters & the importation of illegal aliens as well as rampant voter fraud & centralized political mismanagement by the California Democrat supermajority, this has no longer become the case. If these mentioned counties formed their own state, GOP candidates would find it massively easier to campaign there & if these counties formed their own state, GOP candidates for statewide office would only have to focus on these areas rather than be outspent & outvoted by the population powerhouses of the SF Bay Area as well as Los Angeles County.

Wouldn't Democrats reject having these historically conservative counties form their own state? Not if Los Angeles area Democrats are enticed with having their own Blue state that includes the following counties of Los Angeles, Ventura, & Santa Barbara. Plus, with all the goodies & debt forgiveness deals Democrats will benefit from, Democrats will view this as the best deal they can accept. After all, if Democrats can be somewhat competitive in Arizona, Democrats can be as competitive in Mojave. Mojave/Reagan would be politically similar to Arizona, Georgia, Ohio, & Iowa.

I put in Reagan as a potential name for this new state as it could be named after former U.S. President Ronald Reagan.

Image result for los angeles flag
Greater Los Angeles/San Andreas/San Gabriel

Counties to be included: Los Angeles, Ventura, Santa Barbara, San Luis Obispo*, Monterey*, San Benito*. *=to be determined

Capital: Los Angeles

Los Angeles has developed a distinct sub-identity from the San Francisco-Sacramento areas that currently dominate California's statewide politics. Though Democrats are the dominant party in California, there are divisions within the California Democratic Party that can be exploited & used to garner certain Democrat support for partitioning California. While it has been assumed that California Democrats will mostly vote in lockstep in the California State Legislature, I believe that if given the choice, Los Angeles area Democrats would accept the idea of having their own state in exchange for accepting the creation two GOP leaning states & one swing state. With a reduced debt burden, Los Angeles could also be enjoying a special no State & Local Tax deduction cap if they accepted the 5 state solution deal.

There are Los Angeles Democrats who have developed distinct identities from their northern counterparts including Antonio Villaraigosa, Loretta Sanchez, Kevin De Leon, Marshall Tuck, John Chiang, etc. & two of these ran for California Governor in 2018 but lost the June 2018 top-two primary(talk about ungovernable). While Los Angeles would be a Safe Democrat state, it would be more governable & Los Angeles Democrats would not have to compete with San Francisco Bay area & Greater Sacramento Democrats. Greater Los Angeles would be similar politically to Illinois, Oregon, & Washington state.
Image result for central valley flag
San Joaquin/Sierra/Reagan

Counties to be included: Kern, Kings, Tulare, Fresno, Madera, Merced, Mariposa, Stanislaus, Tuolumne, Alpine, Calaveras, Amador, El Dorado*, San Joaquin*, San Luis Obispo*, Monterey*. *=to be determined

Capital: Fresno

This new proposed state would mainly include the Central Valley region of California. Central Valley is the agricultural wonder of the world. Much of North America's food comes from the fertile San Joaquin Valley. Artificial droughts & crippling regulations have cause water supplies to run dry. Special interests that influence the San Francisco-Sacramento dominated Democratic legislature have cause California to have insane environmental regulatory disasters.

This new state would likely be a swing state politically similar to that of Minnesota, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada, New Mexico, & Colorado. If only the core counties were included the Central Valley state would be landlocked, though this new swing state could include coastal counties such as Monterey & San Luis Obispo. The counties of Monterey, San Luis Obispo, & San Benito could be included to make this new Central Valley state very competitive for Democrats.

Also, this new state would not experience as much of an exodus as it would if not for centralized tyranny of Sacramento Democrats. Some Central Valley Democrats could get behind the idea of a new state comprised of the Central Valley counties. I also see this new state that's comprised of California's Central Valley being named after late President Ronald Reagan.

File:Flag of California.svg
California/Yerba Buena

Counties to be included: Santa Cruz, Santa Clara, San Mateo, Alameda, San Francisco, Contra Costa, Marin, Napa, Solano, Yolo, Sacramento, San Joaquin*. *=to be determined

Capital: Sacramento

California under this proposal would become a rump state. As part of the deal, California would be reduced geographically to the San Francisco & Greater Sacramento areas but would have it's state debt significantly slashed given this rump successor state would have a reduced population & gdp though would have a higher per capita.

San Francisco-Sacramento axis would no longer drag the rest of California down as California would only include Bay & Greater Sacramento area counties. As part of the 5 state deal California would enjoy having no State & Local Tax Deduction caps as well as having much of it's debt & pension liabilities paid off.

Most of California's statewide Democrat politicians have come from the Bay Area including Governors Jerry Brown & Gavin Newsom, U.S. Senators Dianne Feinstein & Kamala Harris with these Democrats ruling the roost of California politics. The Bay area has the highest cost of living & the worst quality of life due to San Francisco having feces & drug needles littered on it's streets along with homelessness running rampant.

The San Francisco Bay area has the highest housing costs to the point where some people live in their cars and some have to live 2-3 hours away from their jobs to find cheaper housing. Most of California's problems are because of San Francisco-Sacramento Democrat establishment.

If California were partitioned into 5 states, even California if it just included the Bay & Greater Sacramento areas would be able to have better political management as it would be easier to campaign & while the membership of California's state legislature would remain the same(80 Assembly, 40 Senate) each Assembly member & State Senator would be representing far less people due to the fact the rump state of California would have a dramatically lower population count.

California would be politically similar to Massachusetts, Maryland, Vermont, & Hawaii. The rest of what was once California would be free from the environmentalist special interest pressure as most special interest groups would find it more difficult to influence the state legislatures of a partitioned California. The reduced rump California would however inherit many of the bad laws & high taxes it passed over the years.
Image result for state of jefferson flag
Jefferson

Counties to be included: Placer, Nevada, Sierra, Yuba, Sutter, Colusa, Clear, Mendocino, Glenn, Butte, Plumas, Tehama, Trinity, Humboldt, Shasta, Lassen, Modoc, Siskiyou, Del Norte, El Dorado*, Curry**, Coos**, Douglas**, Josephine**, Jackson**, Klamath**, Lake**. *=to be determined; **=counties part of Oregon.

Capital: Redding

Jefferson would if it became it's own state the most Solid GOP state out of the 5 successor states. Jefferson is also the only proposed state out of the successor states to also potentially include counties from a neighboring state(in this case Oregon). Jefferson can be portrayed as the most neglected & most conservative of the regions of California.

While Jefferson has a lot of California's water, Jefferson could lease some of it's water supply to successor states once belonging to California as a condition of being granted statehood.

Jefferson would be politically similar to Idaho, Montana, the Dakotas, Nebraska, Iowa, Ohio, etc. Jefferson would also the the only Safe GOP state out of the states to be established as a result of partitioning California. Jefferson would be the least populated & as a result would have the fewest electoral votes.

While I'm attracted to the idea of partitioning the ungovernable California, a better solution would be to establish 5 states so it would be easier for statewide candidates to campaign as well as to gain support from Los Angeles area Democrats with the promise of forming their own state.

Organic Acts & provisional constitutions should be established upon each of California's breakaway states form.

Saturday, November 17, 2018

Democrats Shatter Legitimacy of 2018 Midterms

Florida has become the eye of the Voter Fraud storm. Despite Rick Scott winning against incumbent Senator Bill Nelson & Ron DeSantis defeating Andrew Gillum; Broward & Palm Beach Counties magically come up with extra ballots almost always favoring Democrats. It's so weird & unusual that some Republicans are shown to win on election day but just hours later mysterious "uncounted" ballots appear & almost always give votes to Democrats. In fact, Democrats admit they want illegal votes counted such as votes made by non-citizens & dead people.

Not just happening in Florida but also happening in Arizona, Georgia, & some congressional races in California. Dana Rohrebacher & Martha McSally are perfect examples of victims of Democrat voter fraud given they were ahead on election day but just hours later ballots appear from nowhere & are given exclusively to their Democrat opponents, handing Democrats "electoral victory".

Many on the MAGA side ask themselves "WHY?!" & How could this happen? President Donald Trump has tweeted about the voter fraud occurring, such as Arizona having ballots coming in with invalid signatures. What is Donald Trump's real plan at combating voter fraud? The most logical explanation for this is this is a sting operation & Broward County is the example of Democrat voter fraud.

Trump's main goal however for the 2018 midterms is to secure a strong enough GOP Senate majority as well as Gubernatorial races for important states such as Florida & Ohio. Trump has recently tweeted out that Rick Scott & Ron DeSantis have rightfully won their respective races.

With the voter fraud pandemonium going on, President Trump's team is gathering evidence as the voter fraud is being committed & will soon take action to have a special legal team to investigate massive Democrat led voter fraud following collection of evidence & study of voter fraud tactics.

Numerous states & races have seen dead, non-existent, & non-citizen votes being counted exclusively for Democrats, explaining why Democrat candidates have suddenly slipped past their GOP opponents. Ballots have even been destroyed before the legal allowed time with Broward County Elections Supervisor Brenda Snipes having been previously judged in violation of election laws prohibiting the destruction of ballots less than 22 months after elections.

Many races where Republicans were shown ahead on election night have just days after shown Democrats winning. Why? The only logical explanation to this is Democrats have committed massive voter fraud that has yet to be proven via the Homeland Security report that is due by December 21, 2018(45 days after elections). In fact, Georgia Democrats were being investigated for hacking the state's voting system. Plus, there's theories of voting machines pre-setting votes in favor of Democrats.

It's not just tampering with votes, getting non-citizens to vote, voting machines pre-fixing votes, etc. but psychological voter suppression with Fox News announcing at 9:30est(6:30pst/7:30mst) Democrats win the House despite the voting polls still being open for 1-2 more hours. This could have effected the results by psychologically implanting in GOP leaning voter minds that there's no point in going to vote, possibly being a reason why Jon Tester(Democrat) won re-election in Montana for example.
Many MAGA citizens ask "Why hasn't this voter fraud been prevented?!" Trump realized the best way to severely diminish voter fraud to the point where it can no longer be weaponized by Democrats is to allow the Democrats to commit the blatant voter fraud, gather evidence, & release a report before the next congress convenes so the American public can understand their elections are not really fair & honest to begin with. Voter fraud is not something new as Democrats primarily have used voter fraud techniques for Decades, as long as before the oldest living person was born.

It would have felt better to have the Trump administration to simply have law enforcement just stop any and all kinds of voter fraud but what good would it do in the long run? If the voter fraud is so expansive & so mastered to the point where it is as powerful of a weapon as a "migrant caravan" invasion, would MAGA have truly won the 2018 midterms?

Trump is considered to be very unpredictable. We might think he'll have voter fraud prevented & non-citizens will not vote but in reality such an operation would not produce a strong enough long term damage on the Democrats & the Deep State & lead more to politics as usual rather than a future collapse of the Democratic Party.

Bottom line is President Trump has instructed numerous agencies such as Homeland Security, Justice, FBI, etc. to release a report on voting irregularities as well as foreign influence in the 2018 midterms. What good would it do long term if voter fraud was just stopped by law enforcement before it happened? It would just be another midterm election that favored Republicans with Democrats fighting tooth an nail to try & overturn such midterms on grounds there was voter suppression. Following the December report on voter fraud, it will be the Democrats who suffer long term to the point where they suffer massive long term damage to their image.

What could possibly come from letting Democrats steal the midterms? My feeling here is this could be the largest Sting Operation in American history, leading to stronger cases for electoral reforms such as strict voter id with there being id's specifically for voting, abolition of early voting & use of absentee mail in ballots without good reason, thumbprint ink markings, declaration of election day as a national holiday, etc. Non-electoral issues could also include emergency immigration controls deportation of non-citizens that voted in the 2018 midterms, & use of the Army Corp. of Engineers to build the concrete wall along the U.S.-Mexico border.

Following the December release of the Voter Fraud report by Homeland Security, the U.S. House of Representatives may NOT convene for several months after January 3 to sort out the voter irregularities with some house seats going towards special elections due to not being able to determine the true winner. The reason I did not mention the U.S. Senate is because the GOP has held control of the U.S. Senate despite massive voter fraud. The U.S. Senate as a result of the voter fraud report could see the GOP increase it's Senate majority.

This WILL take time since the voter fraud report will lead to numerous races being challenged before the courts & now with the confirmation of Justice Brett Kavanaugh & the imminent retirement of "Justice" Ruth Bader Ginsburg in January of 2019, the U.S. Supreme Court will have a 6-3 right-wing majority several months from now.

Friday, November 9, 2018

What will the next two years be like?

Many Americans both left & right were disappointed with the 2018 midterm results that resulted in a Democrat controlled House but a Republican controlled Senate. 4 Democrat incumbents(Heidi Heitkamp, Claire McCaskill, Joe Donnelly, & Bill Nelson) were unseated while just One Republican(Dean Heller) was unseated, making the net gain 3 for the GOP. Lawsuits are being waged by the GOP of both Florida & Arizona over the surge in mysterious & possibly fraudulent ballots from Florida & Arizona's most Democrat leaning counties, giving votes to Democratic candidates.

While I won't divulge into the voter fraud situations in Florida, Georgia, & Arizona I can now say that House Republicans such as Trey Gowdy & Bob Goodlatte have achieved their mission on the committees. While the Democrats take control of house committees, the GOP however will retain & even strengthen their standing on their committees & the Senate has more important powers that the House of Representatives do not such as confirmation of cabinet & judicial appointments(including SCOTUS). In fact, a Democrat controlled house will not accomplish major Democrat goals because the GOP controlled U.S. Senate will act as a Red Wall in protecting President Trump.

The Trump Administration has now hinted it will soon start releasing FISA documents that will be damaging against the Democrat establishment. There are tens of thousands of indictments that have been made under a Jeff Sessions DOJ before his November 7 resignation & will be released in the following months.

Despite the next U.S. Congress having a Democrat controlled House, the next Congress will also have a stronger & more unified GOP controlled Senate. While I don't expect major legislation to be passed the next Congress I do however think Donald Trump will have a much stronger administration as well as a better & stronger GOP Senate majority that will block any radical proposals Democrats come up with from the House. In fact, a Democrat controlled House could even help Trump for his 2020 re-election in which he can scapegoat House Democrats including Speaker Nancy Pelosi as "obstructionists" just as Harry S. Truman did during the 1948 U.S. General Elections.

While Trump will never get major MAGA legislation through the Democrat controlled House, Trump can issue executive orders under pretext of securing the homeland such as ending birthright citizenship, changing immigration rules & priorities, prohibit big tech censorship, change media ownership rules, take aggressive measures against voter fraud, etc under the pretext of national security. Plus, if House Democrats try issuing articles of impeachment(which is very unlikely to happen), Senate Republicans will simply refuse to bring impeachment articles to the Senate floor, rendering impeachment useless. If challenges to Trump's executive authority are made to the courts, the U.S. Supreme Court will have a Conservative majority thanks to Brett Kavanaugh with SCOTUS soon having another Conservative Supreme Court justice.

Another thing is once these FISA documents are revealed, I think some House Democrats will be indicted & forced to step down, creating more vacancies & endangering the Democrat's House majority, even endangering Pelosi's Speakership. House Democrats will overall be obnoxious & annoying, being viewed by both Conservatives & even progressives as ineffective.

While it would have been preferable to have a GOP controlled House, what's the point if RINOs like Paul Ryan won't do Jack Squat to fight for Conservative principles. Plus, having the GOP losing the House of Representatives bolsters Jim Jordan's chances of becoming leader of House Republicans, putting him in a greater position to become House Speaker in the future, with the possibility of having an even larger GOP House majority than they've had since the 1920's.

Though a Democrat controlled House will be a nuisance, POTUS can achieve certain legislative goals such as infrastructure projects & could even get Democrats to cut a deal with the GOP controlled Senate in establishing a new state that includes Orange-San Diego county, Inland Empire, Central Valley, & Far North regions of California.

While most MAGA legislative goals won't be accomplished with a Democrat controlled House, patriots can challenge laws such as gun control, centralized education mandates, anti-business regulations, abortion, freedom of association, etc. to the U.S. Supreme Court with SCOTUS likely voting in MAGA favor.

I think trump's 2020 re-election could be even bigger with not just a MAGA GOP Senate but also having Jim Jordan as leader of House Republicans. The real reason I feel GOP lost the house is because Speaker Paul Ryan damaged the morale of the GOP. Trump's main goal was enlarging the GOP Senate majority so it functions better. Also, many House races where Republicans lost to Democrats were within 1-2 points where the GOP can easily recapture.

It will be very exciting to see President Donald Trump galvanize crowds & voters in preparation for 2020. Not only will Trump win re-election with a regained GOP House majority but also have some net gains in the U.S. Senate. Jim Jordan as leader of House Republicans will bolster GOP morale for 2020 & lead to more promises being accomplished.

Wednesday, November 7, 2018

Sad state of 2018 midterms(except for modest GOP gains in Senate) & Why America needs a new slate

I was shook up to find out the GOP lost several governorships, missed numerous opportunities for more gains in the Senate, plus lost barely enough seats so Democrats have bare majority. While it seems like a disaster for state governments, Donald Trump has seen success with the midterms, at least with the U.S. Senate. Donald Trump has hinted he will go after the deep state & completely expose them by next year. This will then allow Trump to reform the entire executive branch in his image.

To be honest, I feel the current political system is completely broken as most of the U.S. constitution fails to ensure true political fairness. If america had fairer political practices such as honest media reporting, fair campaign finance & ballot access laws, instant run-off voting, honest judicial practices, & lack of voter fraud.

Though most Republican seats that were flipped Democrat were held by NeverTrump RINOS, if America were to have a better political system similar to Brazil, things wouldn't be so bad politically. Plus, America is undergoing massive ethnic & racial conflicts that will likely decimate America's quality of life. Some Democrats that flipped GOP seats in close races likely lied about being against Nancy Pelosi. I could also blame Paul Ryan for not stepping down so the GOP base could be galvanized by a pro-MAGA speaker.

Word is coming out that indictments as park of Operation Slow Walker are starting to materialize & more red pills concerning certain Democrat officials on corruption scandals. Also, since the Democrat controlled house will be very tiny owing to numerous "moderates" who will be forced to turn away from obstructing Republicans due to the fact the house has all seats for re-election every two years. Nancy Pelosi will & should be House Speaker but she will have to negotiate with the moderate Democrats who won my small margins in order to become House Speaker.

While parts of the MAGA agenda can still be passed, Donald Trump WILL be on the 2020 ballot for re-election & gains for the House could not only be a Red Tsunami but the GOP could flip a few Democrat held Senate seats as well. The GOP base will become more engaged and infuriated at a Democrat controlled house, & more galvanized especially if Jim Jordan becomes House Minority leader. In 1948, President Harry S. Truman rallied against the GOP controlled congress, calling them obstructionist, with the Democratic Party gaining 75 house seats & 9 senate seats.

While the Senate map for 2020 will present less opportunities for the GOP to flip senate seats, it is possible for the GOP to made modest net gains.

I was hoping for some more Senate net gains but unfortunately, it was underwhelming. I've been hearing about voter fraud being prominent in some areas, even in red states.

So many bad things happened including felons being given voting rights in Florida. While i'm glad Ron DeSantis won Governor of Florida, so much uncertainly surrounds what the political outcomes in Florida will be if felons vote. Some sources say most felons in Florida are White but Florida could be well out of reach for Republicans unless it is split North/South or Ron DeSantis declares martial law & fixes elections for Republicans.

The results of the 2018 midterms are why I think democracy sucks! Special interests from New York, Washington D.C., & Los Angeles buy electoral outcomes as well as the media influencing the outcomes of elections. Plus, big tech censorship manipulating search results to influence political outcomes could put Trump at a disadvantage in 2020.

To be honest, aspects for MAGA will look grim unless dramatic action is taken such as a military coup that suspends the U.S. Constitution & sends the U.S. back to the drawing board. Though the U.S. Senate will not be an obstacle to Trump's agenda until 2022, Trump should if necessary use executive orders to ban big tech censorship under anti-trust provisions as well as declare Twitter, Youtube, & Facebook the public square subject to 1st amendment protections. The U.S. Supreme Court as well as many judicial nominations will be more conservative thanks to the GOP slightly gaining in the U.S. Senate.

In my humble opinion, this country has never been more dangerously fractured & I feel the only way America can remain Great Again maybe for President Donald Trump to declare martial law & unilaterally suspend the U.S. Constitution & install a military dictatorship where American can be rebuilt from the ground up.

Other options include the United States balkanizing & having new independent nations like Texas for example. https://tnm.me/decide As things in many parts of America become dire, opportunities to start over fresh will start mainly with Texas. The Great Republic of Texas would stand out as a great power rising from the ashes of the collapsed Disunited States. Texas could also help liberate other areas of the Disunited States under distress.

While I look forward to seeing potential scenarios for balkanization of the United States of America(not guaranteed though), 2019-20 will be a red pilling year as many indictments will be handed down, especially following the resignation of Attorney General Jeff Sessions.

America's future at this point is very uncertain but Trump's best & possibly only option is to declare martial law, unilaterally suspend the U.S. Constitution, & install a temporary military dictatorship. From there he can either initiate the breakup of the United States or keep the military junta until a new America can be molded.

Monday, November 5, 2018

My 2018 U.S. Senate Predictions

2018 Senate Election Interactive Map
Following the Kavanaugh circus hearings in which Senate Democrats tried desperately to derail the confirmation of now Justice Brett Kavanaugh. This has cause a spike in voter enthusiasm from Republicans who lacked sufficient enthusiasm compared to Democrats. I base these predictions for competitive Senate races partially on my gut feeling as well as momentum, which is favoring Republicans all across the board, even in Solid Democrat states.

I don't blindly believe polls nowadays as they are the same pollsters who falsely predicted a Hillary Clinton victory back in 2016. After the Kavanaugh confirmation, the only Solid-GOP state Democrat that is in toss-up mode is Joe Manchin(West Virginia) as he is the only Democrat to have voted for Kavanaugh's appointment to the U.S. Supreme Court. As for the rest of the Solid-GOP Democrats running for re-election in states not only won by Trump in 2016 but won by Romney in 2012, these Democrats are likely to be unseated by GOP challengers. Also, four GOP held senate seats up for re-election will likely remain in GOP hands as momentum is on GOP side.

The Democratic party went into full Trump Derangement Syndrome mode & did things so desperately to try & derail Brett Kavanaugh's confirmation by coming out with such a retarded & non-credible sexual assault claim by leftist women acting as political operatives for the Democratic party. Also, Democrats will not stop calling for impeachment & aggressive investigations of both the Trump family as well as Brett Kavanaugh.

Also, record low unemployment especially among minority groups like Blacks & Hispanics with African-American approval for President Donald Trump at 30-40%. Key Democrat voting blocs are being waned away from Democrat enthusiasm and towards approval for President Trump. Even though polls have shown certain races safe for Democrats, many polls anticipate Republicans will be a mere 25% of those voting. Rasmussen has come out with a Generic Ballot poll having GOP +1 because this poll 

The chances of Democrats winning the U.S. Senate were very slim to virtually impossible a month ago but now the GOP is set to gain at least 5-6 Democrat held seats and could even gain enough to break the 60 vote threshold in the U.S. Senate though that maybe wishful thinking.

The following states I will be reviewing here include states viewed as competitive or have some degree of competitiveness.

Martha McSally official portrait (cropped 2).jpgKyrsten Sinema (cropped).jpg
File:Flag of Arizona.svg
Arizona has been considered one of the only two GOP held senate seats facing 2018 election that were considered battleground states during the 2016 U.S. Presidential election. Jeff Flake opted to retire given he was so unpopular. GOP Congresswoman Martha McSally(pictured left) has been rising in momentum against Democrat Congresswoman Kyrsten Sinema(pictured right). Originally, McSally along with other GOP contenders have been trailing Sinema but since people start paying attention to elections around Mid-October, McSally has risen to overtake Sinema.

Kyrsten Sinema has such contempt for Arizona & it's values & has made very outrageous statements including excusing Antifa's destruction of property as well as turning a blind eye to militants joining the Taliban. Sinema's political positions are very left-wing as she favors abortion, gun control, obamacare, amnesty, illegal immigration, etc.
McSally on the other hand WILL support border wall funding, repeal & replace Obamacare, make America's world standing stronger, fund the military, support Constitutionalist Supreme Court Justices & lower court judges, support pro-growth economics such as cutting of tax rates & slashing regulations, etc. What I also must mention is Martha McSally is a former Air Force Pilot, making her image appealing to many veterans(at least compared to Crazy Kyrsten).

My final rating for Arizona is Likely GOP.

Dean Heller, official portrait, 114th Congress (cropped).jpgJacky Rosen official photo (cropped).jpg
File:Flag of Nevada.svg
Nevada is the only U.S. state where Republicans are defending a U.S. Senate seat in a state where Hillary Clinton won in 2016. GOP incumbent Dean Heller(pictured left) is facing Democrat challenger & one term congresswoman Jacky Rosen(pictured right) in what appeared to be the best opportunity for Democrats to flip a GOP held seat in 2018. This chance however has been fading as Heller has been gaining momentum. Dean Heller was previously against Trump two years ago but has since improved his act in Congress & Republicans who previously wanted to skip voting for Heller now will be casting their votes for him. Nevada in my opinion will more likely have a Red Wave than a Blue Wave, with all statewide offices in Nevada, both of Nevada's legislative chambers, & all but one of Nevada's U.S. House seats being won by the GOP.

My final rating for Nevada is Lean/Tilt GOP

Ted Cruz, official portrait (cropped).jpg
File:Flag of Texas.svg
Texas being remotely competitive for statewide races is very rare but Beto O'Rourke(pictured right) never had a real chance of unseating Ted Cruz(pictured left). Basically, the Democratic Party has gone so far left that in my view they can't possibly gain ground in Texas unless they suddenly had million of illegal aliens be able to vote(which is very unlikely to happen). In fact, O'Rourke is slipping in support & he was supposed to be a rising star in the Democratic Party. Nice try, but Ted Cruz will easily win re-election no matter what polls say as long as the MAGA base turns out to vote.

My final rating for Texas is Likely GOP

Marsha blackburn congress (cropped).jpgGovernor Bredesen (cropped).jpg
Flag of Tennessee
Tennessee was originally speculated to be a tossup due to the factors of Bob Corker's retirement as well as Phil Brdesen(pictured right) candidacy for the Democrats. This however has been less & less of the case as Marsha Blackburn(pictured left) is likely to win Tennessee's U.S. Senate seat for the GOP & succeed outgoing U.S. Senator Bob Corker(who is also GOP).
Image result for phil bredesen project veritas
Project Veritas led by James O'Keefe exposed the Bredesn campaign's lies. In fact, campaign workers for Phil Bredesen admit Bredesen should he god forbid get elected to the U.S. Senate that he will vote & govern just like any generic Senate Democrat, meaning exactly as Chuck Schumer & Nancy Pelosi want.
Image result for phil bredesen project veritas
Phil Bredesen can claim he's centre to cener-right all he wants but fact of the matter is he will be indentured to Chuck Schumer & Nancy Pelosi, voting just as they want all Democrats to. BTW, Phil Bredesen will have virtually nothing to lose politically given he is nearly age 75 & will likely serve just one term. He might serve another term if given the opportunity but Bredesen will certainly have a left-wing voting record just as Jon Tester, Joe Donnelly, & Heidi Heitkamp have after claiming they would be independent centre to center-right votes. Bredesen may have claimed he would have supported Brett Kavanaugh but don't let that fool you as Senators Donnelly & Heitkamp would have said the same thing back in 2012 when they were first running for U.S. Senate yet voted against Brett Kavanaugh's confirmation to the U.S. Supreme Court.
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Marsha Blackburn can definitely be trusted to have a right-wing to far-right voting record & vote MAGA 110%!

My rating for Tennessee is Likely GOP

Heidi Heitkamp official portrait 113th Congress.jpgKevin Cramer official photo (cropped).jpg
File:Flag of North Dakota.svg
North Dakota is as Solid GOP conservative as it can get with Democrat incumbent Heidi Heitkamp(pictured left) facing imminent defeat at the hands of GOP congressman Kevin Cramer(pictured right). After voting against conforming Justice Kavanaugh to the U.S. Supreme Court, Senator Heitkamp has definitely destroyed all chances for re-election if she had any before.
Image result for heidi heitkamp project veritas
Project Veritas went undercover & one of Heitkamp's campaign staffers admitted should Heitkamp get re-elected, she would be a left-wing senator. Other staffers for Heitkamp's campaign said if America were to trend left, Heitkamp would go left.
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Heitkamp has on the surface tried to portray herself as a non-partisan Moderate Democrat but behind the scenes she will vote just as Democrat party bosses Chuck Schumer & Nancy Pelosi want her to. Heitkamp's voting record & political actions will be no different than some of the most left-wing Senate Democrats.
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I can confidently say Representative Kevin Cramer WILL be Senator Kevin Cramer starting on January 3, 2019. Even some fake news polls are conceding Cramer is a likely favorite to flip North Dakota's U.S. Senate seat that has been held uninterrupted by Democrats for 60 years.

My rating for North Dakota is Likely GOP(flip).

Claire McCaskill, 113th official photo (cropped 2).jpgJosh Hawley Primary Night (cropped 2).jpg
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Missouri was once considered a swing state but the past two presidential elections have proven Missouri to be a Red State. Claire McCaskill(pictured left) was first elected in 2006 by a narrow margain, unseating a GOP incumbent back when Missouri was still considered a tossup state. Despite Mitt Romney increasing his margain of victory in Missouri in 2012, McCaskill managed to win a double digit landslide victory over a controversial GOP challenger. McCaskill has neither the luck of a president with low approval ratings nor a GOP challenger who made crass & vulgar comments about pregnancy from rape as Missouri Attorney General Josh Hawley(pictured right) has gained enough momentum & support to be ahead of her even with left-leaning biased polls.

Based upon Senator McCaskill's liberal voting record given she voted against repealing Obamacare, opposes border wall funding, voted against tax rate cuts & economic growth, against Donald Trump's Supreme Court nominees Neil Gorsuch & Brett Kavanaugh, 
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Project Veritas uncovered behind the scenes how McCaskill's campaign staffers admit that while Planned Parenthood did not donate directly to Claire McCaskill's campaign, they donate through covert means so they don't risk alienating pro-life moderate Democrats.

Here are some quotes made by McCaskill campaign staffers regarding Planned Parenthood's covert means of indirectly donating to Claire McCaskill:
“Yeah I think it’s like a tactic that’s to like make them not too far left to try to get the moderate voters.”
“… even some moderate Dems are pro-life. And even those Republicans that are gonna vote for Claire, cause they’re pretty moderate, she could lose them if Planned Parenthood donated money [directly] to her.”
“It’s… to keep the Planned Parenthood name off the thing, but we still get the dough?” [Journalist] “Yup.” [Staffer]
“It’s f*cking beautiful” [to take money indirectly from Planned Parenthood].
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That's not all as McCaskill herself admits to supporting harsh Anti-2A gun control measures.
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McCaskill herself says if enough Democrats were elected there would be massive gun control measures passed to disarm law-abiding citizens.
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As a Red State Democrat, Claire McCaskill is willing to deliberately lie about her true policy positions to get elected. However, she has done quite enough to be exposed as a loyal Democrat foot soldier for Chuck Schumer based on her Senate voting record. The people of Missouri are smart enough not to fall for her misleading campaign positions that claim she is a Moderate Democrat yet has a left-wing voting record that Chuck Schumer & Nancy Pelosi are proud of. She is even including campaign ads trying to distance herself from "Crazy" Democrats. What McCaskill fails to realize is she does not have the same lucky advantages she had when running for U.S. Senate back in 2006 & 2012.
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Despite polls showing Josh Hawley slightly ahead, Hawley is a likely favorite to unseat Claire McCaskill given McCaskill's liberal voting record, Trump's high approval ratings, & the fallout from the Kavanaugh debacle & migrant caravans.

My final rating for Missouri is Likely GOP(flip)
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Indiana is a reliably Republican state with the GOP losing Indiana just once since 1964. Joe Donnelly(pictured left) is fighting in a massively tough re-election bid to keep one of Indiana's U.S. Senate seats in Democrat hands. GOP challenger & businessman Mike Braun(pictured right) has been surging past Senator Donnelly & with this momentum is in my view expected to unseat just another Democrat vote soldier for Chuck Schumer.
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Reports have surfaced where Joe Donnelly's family company shipped jobs to Mexico where workers there are paid slave wages.
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Donnelly himself once said Mexico uses slave wage labor. However, Senator Donnelly himself is just fine outsourcing jobs from Indiana to Mexico. Not only that but he has been rated the least effective senator a number of times.
When Cucking Goes Wrong
During the last Indiana U.S. Senate debate held on October 30, Joe Donnelly insulted minority staffers during the debate, effectively lowering his chances of winning re-election even further as well as even taking some right-wing positions on immigration such as approving of military action on the border to stop the migrant caravan from penetrating the southern U.S. border. Despite that however, Donnelly has already done enough damage in one of the most conservatives states in the country, especially with his "no" vote against Justice Kavanaugh.

My final rating for Indiana is Tilt/Lean GOP(flip)

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Montana has mostly elected Democrats for statewide races despite Montana being a reliably conservative state for decades. Democrat incumbent Jon Tester(pictured left) is facing tough election challenge from GOP challenger & state auditor Matt Rosendale(pictured right). Many pundits have given Tester a more favorable rating of winning than Rosendale for some reason but most of these were the same pundits predicting a Hillary Clinton victory in 2016.

Tester has a centre-left to left-wing voting record & resembles more of a surplus vote for Chuck Schumer than a true independent voice representing Montana. Tester has voted against conservatives on many issues such as gun rights, healthcare(voted against repealing Obamacare), taxes & economic freedom(voted against 2017-18 tax cuts), immigration(supported 2013-14 amnesty bill, opposes wall funding), & judicial nominations(voted against confirming Supreme Court justices Neil Gorsuch & Brett Kavanaugh).
Red state Democrats have grown desperate to retain their Senate seats they will brazenly lie about their true records such as Jon Tester voting more with Liberal Democrats such as Chuck Schumer, Elizabeth Warren, & Bernie Sanders; rubber-stamping ALL of Obama's Judicial nominations while rejecting ALL of Trump's Judicial nomination; Being the top recepient of Lobbyist money; & not having a hunting license for more than 6 years.

I will be somewhat shocked if Two Faced Tester manages to win re-election. Jon Tester has also made vicious slanderous libel against Military Doctor Ronny Jackson in an effort to successfully derail his chance of confirmation for Secretary of Veterans Affairs.

My final rating for Montana is Tossup/Lean GOP(Flip)

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Florida is the most populace battleground state for presidential elections as it contains 29 electoral votes, outnumbered only by New York, Texas, & California. Democrat incumbent Bill Nelson(pictured left) has been fighting an almost long-shot re-election battle against popular GOP Governor Rick Scott(pictured right). Rick Scott has achieved positive innovation for his management skills of Florida as well as managing natural disaster fallouts, including Hurricane Michael.

Rick Scott has an amazing record in presiding over record economic growth for Florida as well as having been in the medical profession for decades. Bill Nelson on the other hand may have started out as a Harry Truman style Moderate Democrat back in the late 1970's but has in recent years as a U.S. Senator towed the Democrat Party line as well as being one of the laziest Democrat Senators facing re-election 2018.

There have been poorly sampled polls claiming Democrats will win the Midterms in Florida with not just Bill Nelson but also Andrew Gillum(Governor) winning their elections(which is contradicted by Early Voting data). Early Voting data has shown Republicans ahead of Democrats and early voting is supposed to benefit Democrat turnout. Besides, many pollsters have left-leaning biases and Republicans are grossly under sampled, with pollsters claiming Republicans will be just 25% of those voting.

In fact, a rally held for Andrew Gillum featuring Bernie Sanders couldn't reach half of the venue's capacity. If you watched the video in the link below people cheered like they were bored or sedated.

My final rating for Florida is Lean GOP(flip).

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West Virginia has Democrat incumbent Joe Manchin(pictured left) facing a competitive challenge from GOP WV Attorney General Patrick Morrisey(pictured right). Joe Manchin is the only Red State Democrat to have voted for the confirmation of Justice Brett Kavanaugh. However, Manchin held out on a yes vote for Kavanaugh until Senator Susan Collins(R) announced her yes vote for Kavanaugh.

For those in West Virginia considering voting for Joe Manchin, he has been a staunch supporter of Hillary Clinton, even after the 2016 election. Not only did Joe Manchin vote for & support Hillary Clinton but enthusiastically considers her warm & comforting as well as claims to have a great relationship with the Crooked Clintons.



In fact, Joe Manchin has been a reliable vote for the likes of former President Barack Obama & Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer on issues such as judicial nominees, gun control, & amnesty for illegal immigrants. Plus, Joe Manchin could have been the crucial swing vote to repeal Obamacare back in July of 2017 but chose instead to follow Chuck Schumer's marching orders like the loyal Democrat foot-soldier he is. While Joe Manchin may talk a good talk saying things favorable to conservatives, Manchin has never done anything substantial to stand up for West Virginia's coal industry when the Obama administration was waging war against it. Also, why would Joe Manchin endorse someone for president who has vowed to wage war on coal industries like Hillary Clinton has?

On issues such as abortion, Joe Manchin has voted to fund Planned Parenthood & will even vote against Amendment 1 in West Virginia which bars taxpayer funded abortions of any kind, though it will still allow abortions in cases of rape, incest, & maternal health.

Let's face it, Joe Manchin cannot be trusted by the MAGA crowd but the biggest challenge for Patrick Morrisey has been Manchin's a slick politician willing to make conservative votes more than average senate Democrats. However, Morrisey has been gaining momentum & thanks to President Trump Manchin has been given a run for his money.

My rating for West Virginia is Tossup/Tilt GOP(flip).

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Ohio has been a must win state for Republicans during Presidential elections. Democrat incumbent Sherrod Brown(pictured left) is being challenged by GOP congressman Jim Renacci(pictured right). Though skewed polls have pictured an easy victory for Sherrod Brown, I beg to differ as early voting numbers don't show favorable conditions for Democrats. In fact, Democrat stronghold counties such as Cuyahoga have experienced a drought in returned ballots as well as early voting. Sources say Ohio has Republicans leading Democrats in early voting.

I expect this race to be very close but would not be surprised if Sherrod Brown narrowly wins re-election. However, Ohio will in my view elect GOP Ohio Attorney General Mike DeWine as Governor of Ohio. Why does DeWine have a much better chance at becoming Governor of Ohio but Renacci has more of an uphill battle. Given Sherrod Brown's incumbency and Jim Renacci's lower name recognition, it has presented more of a challenge despite Trump winning Ohio by 8 points.

Fortunately for Ohio, President Trump has been there & has hosted a couple of rallies for the 2018 midterms, giving Renacci a fighting chance.

My rating for Ohio is Tossup/Lean Democrat

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Michigan has voted for Democrat presidential candidates consecutively from 1992 to 2012 by long margins. Donald Trump became the first Republican president to win Michigan since 1988 despite virtually every major pollster predicting a Hillary Clinton win of Michigan. Democrat incumbent Debbie Stabenow(pictured left) is facing a surging GOP challenge John James.
John James is a fighter pilot veteran who served in Operation Iraqi Freedom & has strengthened his family's business. Two months ago John James was considered a long shot but even the polls having him surging behind Stabenow to where she is just at single digit leads.

President Trump has made America's economy better & brought back manufacturing jobs. In fact, Stabenow herself was 14 points behind just two weeks before she was elected to the U.S. Senate in 2000. I can say that John James has more of a chance than Jim Renacci & Lou Barletta do at winning their senate races.

My rating for Michigan is Tossup.

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Wisconsin has historically for much of the 20th century been the homeland of American Progressivism but has during the 2010's shifted to more Conservative rule under Scott Walker. Democrat incumbent Tammy Baldwin(pictured left) is being challenged by GOP State Senator Leah Vukmir(pictured right). While polls have pictured a Baldwin re-election, early voting stats have shown stronger turnout in GOP counties while Democrat strongholds such as Milwaukee & Dane Counties have seen remarkably lower turnouts.

Donald Trump according to pollsters was never supposed to win Wisconsin but became the first Republican President to win Wisconsin since 1984. In fact, Senator Ron Johnson(R) wasn't suppose to win re-election in 2016 either but defied the experts when Donald Trump help Ron Johnson win re-election.

Governor Scott Walker is running for re-election to a 3rd term(Wisconsin has NO term limits) in what I believe will be a likely victory for him. Walker has transformed Wisconsin from a lean Democrat state to a lean GOP state where big labor has been defeated. Walker & Vukmir are allies so if enough voters in Wisconsin vote straight GOP Vukmir should be able to pull off a victory against Tammy Baldwin but no guarantees are made here.

Tammy Baldwin has been terrible for veterans & favors the disastrous "Medicare for all" which will bankrupt government budgets & take away private insurance, forcing everyone into a failed government controlled healthcare system the the UK's National Health Service.

Like I've said for Ohio's Sherrod Brown, Tammy Baldwin is helped by her incumbency & Vukmir's lower name recognition(though being tied to Scott Walker may boost her chances better than Jim Renacci)

My rating for Wisconsin is Tossup/Lean Democrat

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Minnesota has TWO senate elections due to the resignation of Al Franken in January of 2018. The one of Minnesota's 2 senate races I talk about here is the special election to fill the remainder of Al Franken's term. Democrat Lt. Governor Tina Smith(pictured left) was appointed by Minnesota Governor Mark Dayton to succeed Al Franken. GOP state senator Karin Housley(pictured right) is poised to have a shot at flipping this U.S. Senate seat.
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Minnesota's political climate in 2018 has started shaping around Representative Keith Ellison(DFL) who has been found out to have abused his former girlfriend as well as his radical ties to anti-Semitic groups & personalities. Not only is Keith Ellison's race for Attorney General of Minnesota collapsing with his GOP rival Doug Wadlow likely to win but has also effected other statewide races such as Governor & one of Minnesota's senate seats.
The worst part about senators like Tina Smith is she failed to show up for an important debate.
Karin Housley will not let Minnesota down as one of it's U.S. Senators all while tax-hiking, pro-abortion extremist Tina Smith(who has even fully defended Keith Ellison despite evidence pointing to domestic abuse).

My rating for Minnesota(special) is Tossup.

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New Jersey is the most unique as Hillary Clinton won NJ by 14 points. However, due to Democrat incumbent Bob Menedez(pictured left) being fully involved in receiving bribes & doing favors for Dr. Solomon Melgen(who was convicted of one of the worst Medicare frauds in U.S. history), this races has become competitive. GOP businessman & CEO of Celgene Bob Hugin(pictured right) has a shot at unseating Senator Menendez.

I wouldn't count on it fully going from Dem to GOP simply because New Jersey is a Likely Democrat state. Hugin has certain advantages such as self-financing through his wealth, centrist politics, & support from Democrat-leaning newspapers & organizations.

Democrats are even spending money to defend Bob Menendez, taking money away from other races. Bob Hugin has raised issues other than Menendez's corruption such as NJ's largest deficit in what investments by the federal government are given to NJ.

I live in New Jersey & I could tell Democrat Phil Murphy would likely win Governor of New Jersey last year due to GOP Gov. Chris Christie's abysmal approval ratings & Lt. Governor & GOP nominee for NJ governor Kim Guadagno's ties to Christie. For the 2018 midterms for U.S. House & Senate, New Jersey is experiencing a competitive race for U.S. Senate & I feel Hugin has a great chance of unseating failed Schumer lackey Bob Menendez.

My rating for New Jersey is Tossup

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Pennsylvania has Democrat incumbent Bob Casey Jr.(pictured left) fighting for re-election against GOP congressman Lou Barletta(pictured right). Barletta is known to be a hardliner against illegal immigration. Bob Casey Jr. has tried to portray himself as a moderate as well as use the image of his late father Bob Casey Sr. as safety nets for his re-election. However Casey Jr. has been nothing more than a surplus vote for Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, voting left-wing over 90% of the time. Plus, Bob Casey Jr. has even gone so far to automatically oppose ANY nominee Donald Trump nominates for the Supreme Court before it's even announced.

Casey Jr. went so far in what is more like a desperate political stunt to claim in a negative ad that Lou Barletta would take away children's insurance. One of Barletta's grandchildren gets treatment for cancer & he immediately called out Bob Casey's disgusting attack.

Bob Casey Jr. claims to be pro-life but has voted numerous times to fund Planned Parenthood, an organization his father Bob Casey Sr. fought against as Governor of Pennsylvania in the early 1990's. Let's face it, there isn't a single Democrat in the U.S. senate in the mold of Harry S. Truman & John F. Kennedy anymore.

Even though Trump won Pennsylvania in 2016, it seems like just as Sherrod Brown & Tammy Baldwin have incumbency advantages as well as facing opponents with lower name ID's, Bob Casey Jr. has the same advantages plus Pennsylvania has a Democrat Governor(Tom Wolf) so Lou Barletta won't have the same advantage as Jim Renacci & especially Leah Vukmir have in their respective states.

My final rating for Pennsylvania is Lean Democrat/Tossup

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Virginia was once a solid conservative state until the late 2000's due to the expansion of the DC suburban bureaucrat & lobbyist classes in Northern Virginia. Immigration has also played a role in Virginia's shift from likely GOP to Tilt Democrat as well. Democrat incumbent Time Kaine(pictured left) is presumed to have an easy re-election but behind the scenes GOP challenger & Prince William County Supervisor Corey Stewart(pictured right) has been giving Tim Kaine a challenge not reported by the media. Perhaps Tim Kaine is most well known for being Hillary Clinton's VP running mate.
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Tim Kaine has some of the most left-wing voting record & is in my view so out of touch even with most of Virignia. Far-left positions Tim Kaine has taken including open borders, tax hikes, taxpayer funding of abortions, condoning ANTIFA(his son was arrested for ANTIFA related conduct in Minnesota back in mid 2017), & failing to secure enough highway construction funds for Virginia. I've been hearing Northern Virginia suffers from Traffic congestion like Los Angeles.
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Corey Stewart has been Chairman of Prince William County's Board of Supervisors since 2006 & despite Prince William County's shift from a Likely Republican county to Safe Democrat Prince William County's Board of Supervisors is still predominantly Republican with Corey Stewart overwhelmingly winning his At-Large seat. He led one of America's toughest crackdown on criminal illegal aliens & has made Prince William County the best county in America to do business. What the heck has Tim Kaine ever accomplished?

In Virginia Democrats are targeting a few GOP held congressional seats such as ones held by Barbara Comstock & David Brat. Corey Stewart's senate candidacy could likely block Democrats from flipping a single GOP held U.S. House seat in Virginia regardless of the Senate race's outcome. I think Corey Stewart could pull off an upset against Tim Kaine but I'm not going to just assume such a result will happen.

My rating for Virginia is Lean Democrat/Tossup